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现代矿业 ›› 2025, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (06): 219-223.

• 经济·管理 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于主成分分析和BP神经网络模型的进口煤炭品质评价#br#

富 瑶1 丁 艳2 王 楠1 薛伟锋1   

  1. 1. 大连海关技术中心;2. 锦州海关综合技术服务中心
  • 出版日期:2025-06-25 发布日期:2025-08-06

Quality Evaluation of Imported Coal Based on Principal Component Analysis and BP Neural Network Model

  1. 1. Technical Center of Dalian Customs;2. Comprehensive Technical Service Center of Jinzhou Customs
  • Online:2025-06-25 Published:2025-08-06

摘要: 为了给口岸监管部门快速鉴定未知进口煤炭的品质提供可靠的甄别手段,基于 BP神 经网络开展了进口煤炭品质评价模型的构建研究,模型以 SPSS主成分分析得到煤炭的收到基低位 热值、收到基高位热值、干基高位热值、全水、干基灰分、干基汞、干基砷和干基磷等8个参数可替代原 有 15个参数评价进口煤炭品质,随机选取 59组进口煤炭样本作为训练集,另外 13组样本作为验证 集,构建进口煤炭品质 BP神经网络模型,模型预测值和实际值的相对误差小于 15%;依据模型预测 值可快速鉴定未知进口煤炭的品质。

关键词: 进口煤炭, 主成分分析, 神经网络模型, 品质评价

Abstract: In order to providing a reliable screening method for port supervision departments to quickly identify the quality of unknown imported coal,the construction research of imported coal quality evaluation model was carried out based on BP neural network.The model was based on SPSS principal com⁃ ponent analysis,finding that 8 parameters including low calorific value of received base,high calorific val⁃ ue of received base,high calorific value of dry base,total water,ash of dry base,mercury of dry base,ar⁃ senic of dry base and phosphorus of dry base,can replace the original 15 parameters to evaluate the quali⁃ ty of imported coal. By using the above parameters,59 groups of imported coal samples were randomly se⁃ lected as the training set,and the other 13 groups of samples as the verification set,and the BP neural net⁃ work model of imported coal quality was constructed. The predicted result shows that relative errors be⁃ tween the predicted value of the model and the actual value by test are less than 15%,meaning that the quality of unknown imported coal could be rapidly identified according to the predicted value of the BP neural network model.

Key words: imported coal, principal component analysis, neural network model, quality evaluation