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现代矿业 2011, Vol. 27 Issue (11) :27-29    DOI:
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基于灰色模型GM(1,1)的尾矿坝浸润线预测
邹伟霞,李慧敏*
中国地质大学(武汉)工程学院
Saturation Line Prediction of Tailings Dam based on Grey Model (1,1)
Zou Weixia,Li Huimin*
Faculty of Engineering,China University of Geosciences(Wuhan)

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摘要 浸润线的控制是尾矿库监测重点内容之一,对尾矿库安全起着至关重要的作用。从尾矿库监测数据中选取历史数据,提出一种基于累加生成的GM(1,1)灰色预测模型浸润线的预测方法,建立预测模型。结果表明该方法具有所需数据少、建模精度高及简单实用等优点,能够准确预测浸润线高度,有利于提高尾矿库安全水平。
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邹伟霞
李慧敏
关键词GM(1   1)模型   灰色预测   浸润线   尾矿坝     
Abstract: Control of saturation line is one of important points in tailing dam monitoring,which plays an important role in tailing dam safety.Selected historical data from monitoring data of tailing dam,a kind of saturation line prediction method of GM(1,1) grey prediction model which generated base on accumulation was proposed,prediction model was established.The consequence indicated this mothod had advantages like less data needed,high precision modeling,simple,practical and others,could predict saturation line height accurately,helpful to the increase of tailing dam safety level.
KeywordsGM(1   1) model   Grey prediction   Saturation line   Tailings dam     
引用本文:   
邹伟霞, 李慧敏.基于灰色模型GM(1,1)的尾矿坝浸润线预测[J]  现代矿业, 2011,V27(11): 27-29
ZOU Wei-Xia, LI Hui-Min.Saturation Line Prediction of Tailings Dam based on Grey Model (1,1)[J]  Modern Mining, 2011,V27(11): 27-29
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