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现代矿业 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (10): 7-10.

• 采选工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于Black-Scholes模型的采矿权价值评估方法研究

田宇   

  1. 中煤平朔煤业有限责任公司
  • 出版日期:2011-10-12 发布日期:2011-10-13

Study on Mining Rights Value Evaluation Method based on Black-Scholes Model

Tian Yu   

  1. Chinacoal Pingshuo Coal Co., Ltd.
  • Online:2011-10-12 Published:2011-10-13

摘要: 从矿产资源采矿权市场价值研究入手,对采矿权评估传统净现值法的特点进行了细致分析,结合具体案例探讨了矿产资源实际开采活动特点,提出了改进的Black-Scholes模型用于评估采矿权价值,将采矿权服务年限与矿山投产前基建期之和作为采矿权价值计算的合理期限。将该模型应用于某矿山采矿权评估,结果表明:采矿权价值随采矿权期权期限的增加呈现出先增后减的趋势;一定时间范围内,同宗矿权地的采矿权期限越长,采矿权价值就越大。通过该评估模型所得采矿权评估结果更接近于矿产资源市场价值,符合矿产资源开发利用过程中采矿权价值发展趋势,有助于实际投资分析和管理决策,也给政府职能部门合理确定采矿权出让时间提供理论参考。  

关键词: 采矿权, 期权, Black-Scholes模型, 期权期限

Abstract: Characteristics of traditional net present value method of mining rights evaluation were carefully analyzed, started from marketable value study of mineral resources mining rights. Practical mining activities characteristics of mineral resources were discussed combined with concrete cases. The improved Black-Scholes model was used in mining rights value evaluation. The reasonable term of mining rights value calculation was proposed which was equal to the sum of mining rights service time and basic construction period before mine commissioning. Using this model in mining rights evaluation of a mine, the following results were obtained: mining rights value present trend of increased at first and then decreased with the increasing of mining rights option term, mining rights value increased with the longer term of mining rights of same clan mining claim at a certain time range. Mining rights evaluation results were obtained through this evaluation model which could be much close to marketable value of mineral resources, accordance with mining rights value development trend in the process of development and utilization of mineral resources, would be helpful to practical investment analysis and management decision, and to confirm reasonably  mining rights granting term for government functional department.

Key words: Mining rights, Option, Black-Scholes model, Option term