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现代矿业 ›› 2011, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (09): 17-19.

• 安全与环保 • 上一篇    下一篇

非煤矿山事故致因的多因素灰色关联分析

梁家宽1,吕振华2   

  1. 1.北京海地人资源咨询有限责任公司;2.北京科技大学土木与环境工程学院
  • 出版日期:2011-09-19 发布日期:2011-09-19

The Multi-factors Grey Correlation Analysis of Non-coal Mine Accidents Causation

Liang Jiakuan1,Lv Zhenhua2   

  1. 1.Beijing Headmen Resource Consultative Group Co.,Ltd.;2.Civil&Environment Engineering School, University of Science &Technology Beijing
  • Online:2011-09-19 Published:2011-09-19

摘要: 运用灰色关联分析方法,以我国2004—2008年的非煤矿山事故统计数据为依据,将事故起数和事故死亡人数作为参考指标,通过计算和分析违反操作规程、生产场所环境不良、安全设施缺少或有缺陷等因素与非煤矿山事故间的灰色关联度,由此导出灰色关联序,从而确定出影响非煤矿山事故的主要相关因素,得出事故多因素与非煤矿山事故间关系的定量化分析结果。该方法简单、精确度比较高,为确定非煤矿山事故因素间的关系提供了一种较为科学的定量评价方法,对分析事故主要原因、掌握事故发生规律提供支撑,有助于减少非煤矿山事故的发生,保障矿山企业生产的正常运行。    

关键词: 灰色关联分析, 多因素, 非煤矿山事故, 灰色关联度, 灰色关联序

Abstract: Using grey correlation analysis method, took the statistical data of non-coal mine accident during 2004 to 2008 in China as the example, took the number and death toll of accident as the reference index, through the calculation and analysis of grey correlation degree between violate operating rules, bad environment of production place, short or defective on safety provision and other factors to non-coal mine accident, grey relational order derived from grey correlation degree, main relative factors which influence non-coal mine accident was confirmed, quantitative analysis result on relationship between accident multi-factors and non-coal mine accident was obtained. This method was simple and accuracy was high, provided a kind of comparative scientific quantitative evaluation method for the relationship confirm between non-coal mine accident factors, provided supports for accident main result analysis and master accident occurrence regularity, helpful to reduce the occurrence of non-coal mine accident, ensured normal operation of mine enterprise production.

Key words: Grey correlation analysis, Multi-factors, Non-coal mine accident, Grey correlation degree, Grey relational order